Latest Swing State Polls 2024. The race between trump and harris is tight in key 2024 swing states, with polls showing a near tie in crucial pennsylvania. Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether donald trump or kamala harris wins the us presidential election on november 5.

Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house.